Quick Predictions: UFC 130 Rampage vs Hamill

It is never a good thing when both your fighters in the main event go down to injury. This went from a very strong card to let’s say an intriguing card. I mean who would have thought Matt The Hammer Hamill would be the main event for a PPV.

Quinton Jackson vs Matt Hamill
Rampage Jackson by Knockout in the Third
The UFC would be hard pressed to selling this fight as an important one. It has the feel of a keep Rampage busy fight. Rampage is a top five (maybe top 3?) Light Heavyweight and Hamill is may be Top 15 at best so Rampage doesn’t really move up much in the division if he wins. Of course it would be huge for Hamill’s career if he does pull the huge upset but I really can’t see that happening. Rampage is just too strong and he should be able to control the tempo of the fight. I hope to see the more aggressive, more exciting Rampage back as his last two matchups against Rashad Evans and Lyoto Machida were stylistic nightmares for him.

Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson
Roy Nelson by Judges’ Decision
Is the UFC Heavyweight division really that shallow in that the winner of this fight really gets a title shot? As of late, Frank Mir has be quite the underachiever losing two huge fights against Brock Lesnar and Shane Carwin and he looked sluggish against Mirko Cro Cop in a fight he should have dominated. Roy Nelson himself hasn’t had the big win yet in his UFC career. Anyways for this fight, both fighters have knockout power with a strong ground game so it could be a toss up. I give Big Country the edge here because Frank Mir may very well gas going past the second.

Stefan Struve vs Travis Browne
Stefan Struve by Submission in the Second
The Skyscraper is one of the more intriguing prospects in the UFC. He really only has two hiccups thus far, one against Junior dos Santos which is understandable and one against Roy Nelson which put his career back some. Struve has been bulking up which can only be a good thing. He has a crazy lanky build that always makes for a tough matchup for any fighter. Travis Browne hasn’t really proved much to the fans yet. Sure he is undefeated but his only win in the UFC is against James McSweeney and the another fight was a draw against Cheick Kongo (which was a fight Kongo should have won if he wasn’t such an idiot). Struve is such a unique fighter and he can be frustrating to fight in both the stand up and the ground game.

Thiago Alves vs Rick Story
Thiago Alves by Knockout in the Third
Rick The Horror Story has quietly put up a 5 win streak going into this fight but he faces a beast in Thiago Pitbull Alves. It was a fight he wanted but you got to be careful for what he wish for. As of late Alves has only lost to the elite wrestler in the division GSP and Jon Fitch and Rick Story is not at that level. Alves just beat John Doomsday Howard in dominate fashion and I see the same here.

Brian Stann vs Jorge Santiago
Brian Stann by Judges’ Decision
Stann really surprised me beating Chris Leben in his last fight. Stann in the past has been inconsistent and I thought he was destined to be a gatekeeper in the Middleweight division. But he has more momentum and hype than ever when he welcomes Jorge Santiago back in the UFC. Santiago has been making a lot of noise in Japan with some epic fights but time and time again the talent stateside has shown to be at a higher level than those in Japan. This is the fight for me to gauge what career Jorge Santiago has in his second tour with the UFC but the pessimistic side of me has Stann winning this.

For the prelims I have Miguel Torres, Kendall Grove, Gleison Tibau, Michael McDonald and Renan Barao.

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