Quick Predictions: UFC 139 Shogun vs Henderson

Three straight Saturdays with huge UFC events, including the supposedly game changer UFC on Fox. It certainly doesn’t feel like a new era one week after…

Mauricio Rua vs Dan Henderson
Dan Henderson by KO in the Second
I honestly believe this fight is a coin flip. Both fighters are legends in the sport. Shogun Rua looked good in his first fight with Machida, looked great in his second fight, was out classed by Jon Bones Jones and then destroyed Forrest Griffin in his last fight. So which Shogun would show up? Dan Henderson was a monster for Strikeforce. After losing to Jake Shields in his debut, he went on a tear winning three straight but they were against Renato Sobral, Rafael Cavalcante and this is hard to say an over the hill Fedor. I think this fight would go down to a kickboxing match and Dan Henderson just need to land once with his H- Bomb to end the fight so I give him a very very slight edge.

Wanderlei Silva vs Cung Le
Cung Le by Judges’ Decision
Boy did Cung Le catch a break. In Cung Le vs Vitor Belfort, you got to go with Belfort hands down but against Wanderlei Silva I think Cung Le is a favorite here. Wanderlei Silva has shown his age his last couple of fights, going only 2-4 in the UFC. When he tries to turn it on and become the Axe Murderer again he just gets knocked out a la the Chris Leben fight. Cung Le doesn’t have knock out power but he can frustrated you and overwhelm you with kicks. The problem also with Cung Le though he is has long layoffs between fights so ring rust is always a possibility.

Urijah Faber vs Brian Bowles
Urijah Faber by Judges’ Decision
Faber is THE most popular sub 155 lber in the UFC no doubt and he always seems to be second best no matter what division he is in. Bowles is no joke only losing to the champ Dominick Cruz but Faber is very well rounded and good no matter where the fight takes him. Faber would probably win this, get another title shot and lose again. But I am rooting for Bowles because Faber gets a title shot like every other fight.

Martin Kampmann vs Rick Story
Martin Kampmann by Judges’ Decision
Martin The Hitman Kampmann is a good test to judge Welterweights by. He took out title contenders Paulo Thiago (he had momentum going into their fight) and Carlos Condit (awhile back I admit) and I say he should have won against Jake Shields and maybe against Diego Sanchez. Rick Story was a promising up and comer but that hype train came to a screeching halt losing to The Spaniard Charlie Brenneman, a fight he was heavily favored. Overall I think Kampmann has more tools and for what it is worth I think he is due for a big win.

Stephan Bonnar vs Kyle Kingsbury
Stephan Bonnar by Judges’ Decision
This is the classic matchup of the veteran versus the up and comer. Bonnar has been through some wars and against Kingbury it is going to be a war. Kingsbury has shown some serious power but in his last two victories he has shown some flaws in his game. All in all, I think Bonnar is a savvy fighter and he can grind it out. There are a couple of Fight of the Night contenders in this card and this is definitely one of them.

For all the prelims I got Ryan Bader, Michael McDonald (he is definitely someone to keep an eye on), Chris Weidman (but rooting for Tom Lawlor), Gleison Tibau, Miguel Torres, Matt Brown and Shamar Bailey.


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