Quick Predictions: UFC 140 Jones vs Machida

Why is the prelims on Ion TV? I can never remember what channel it is on. Anyways, a bunch of UFC champs have went down to injury the last week or so including Dos Santos, GSP and Anderson Silva so championship fights maybe more of rarity the next year.

Jon Jones vs Lyoto Machida
Jon Jones by Knockout in the Second
The Light Heavyweight division in the most stacked in the UFC and I have always said Machida might be the one to give Jon Bones Jones the biggest scare. Machida karate style is unique and hard to replicate in the gym. Still a more aggressive Machida is a dangerous Machida and at times he seems to be unable to get in going until it is too late (a la his Rampage fight). I have been on the Bones Jones bandwagon for a long time now and I still think he is the real deal. His greatest tools against Machida is his insane reach which would make Machida’s hit and run style much more difficult to execute and his wrestling. It is going to be a closer fight than Bones’ fight with Rampage or Shogun but I still think he takes this.

Machida

Frank Mir vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
Frank Mir by Judges’ Decision
Mir and Big Nog represent the previous generation of Heavyweights but they are not done just yet. The both beat fringe contenders in Roy Nelson for Mir and Brendan Schaub for Big Nog in their last match. This could be a close match but I am going with Mir. His striking is better and Big Nog has just taken so much damage over his career. Also I actually don’t think either fighter has an edge on the ground game.

Tito Ortiz vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira by Judges’ Decision
One of my rules is never bet on Tito Ortiz. Simple as that.

Claude Patrick vs Brian Ebersole
Brian Ebersole by Judges’ Decision
Claude Patrick is an up and comer and this would in fact be his first time on the main card. He would also be the hometown hero which can only help. Still he is somewhat of a question mark which make Ebersole the safer pick IMO. Brian Ebersole is a veteran with 64 fights under his belt and he finally made it to the big leagues. He has momentum in his side beating Dennis Hallman (memorable fight for all the wrong reasons) and Chris Lytle both crafty veteran themselves.

Mark Hominick vs Chan Sung Jung
The Korean Zombie by Judges’ Decision
I may be a bit biased here as I am a huge fan of the Korean Zombie. Hominick impressed in his loss against Jose Aldo and he can dish out some pain. But The Korean Zombie probably has a more complete ground game (just look at his slick Twister submission) but they would more than likely just stand and bang, which means anything can happen.

For the prelims I got The Polish Experiment (no one can spell his name), Constantinos Philippou, Dennis Hallman (how in the world does he still have a job???), Yves Jabouin, Nik Lentz, Rich Attonito and John Cholish (saw him fight live in a SF prelim and he was very impressive).

As a bonus, here are my Strikeforce Melendez vs Masvidal (which is next week) picks. I just went with the clear cut favorites Gilbert Melendez (probably will move up to the UFC with a win), Cyborg Santos (she is pretty much the whole division, no one comes close), Gegard Mousasi (deserves more recognition) and KJ Noons (more technical striker).

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